Commodities - Technical Analysis

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Wednesday, September 19, 2007

US Economy Update

Dollar continues to hover near record low against Euro after reportsshowing US CPI unexpectedly slowed in Aug and more than expecteddeterioration in the housing markets. Headline CPI fell -0.1% mom inAug, down from 0.1% mom in Jul and below expectation of being flat.This dragged the yoy rate further to 2.0%. Core CPI rose 0.2% mom,dragging yoy rate down to 2.1%. Housing starts decreased -2.6% to1.331, a 12 years low, while building permits decreased -5.9% to1.31m annualized rate, lowest since 95. Both are worse than market'sexpectation. USD/CAD recovers mildly from 1.0080 new 30 year lowtoday and continues to consolidate after report shows canadian CPIeased to 1.7% yoy in Aug. Still, the core CPI remained elevated at2.2%, though this was down from inflation in June and July.

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