Commodities - Technical Analysis

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Thursday, September 13, 2007

Commodities Market Commentary

Copper stayed lower in early afternoon trade as investors took profits after yesterday's gains, with rising stockpiles and the easing of strike threats in Peru also depressing sentiment.

"After the extended rally seen on the run up to the close last night, prices have begun to take stock and profit taking has been in abundance from the beginning of the premarket session," said analysts at RBC Capital Markets. "Stock reporting rime showed net inflows for copper, aluminium and nickel, and outflows for the rest of the complex."

At 1.10 pm, copper for three-month delivery was trading at 7,401 usd against 7,475 usd at the close yesterday.

News that workers at Southern Copper Corp have called off a strike due for today after the company agreed to restart wage negotiations is also weighing on prices, analysts said.

Strike-related news had contributed strongly to yesterday's gains. Southern Copper is the world's fifth largest producer of copper. Its Ilo smelter and Cuajone and Toquepala mines have been plagued with strike action this year.

Meanwhile the LME said its stocks of the red metal increased by 650 tonnes this morning, bringing total LME monitored inventories to 137,925 tonnes, around 40 pct higher than they were two months ago.

Among other base metals, aluminium also dipped, helped by a sharp rise in LME monitored stockpiles. The metal slid to 2,444 usd from 2,460 usd yesterday. Inventories of the grey metal rose 6,000 tonnes this morning to 890,650 tonnes, according to the exchange. Stocks of the metal have risen by 5 pct in the last week.

Meanwhile lead, yesterday's strongest gainer, was steady at 3,020 usd against 3,030 usd at the close last night. The metal has been buoyed throughout the year by supply shortages from key producer Australian, and from China, after the imposition of an export tax on the metal earlier this year.

Nickel meanwhile inched up to 27,150 usd from 27,000 usd, and tin to 15,250 usd from 15,200 usd. Zinc was flat at 2,760 usd.

Gold hit a fresh 16-month high of 714.40 usd this morning after the dollar fell to an all-time low against the euro, and as the metal continued to attract support from inflation-hedging with oil prices close to record highs.

At 12.53 pm, spot gold was trading at 710.70 usd, an ounce against 711.80 usd at the close. Earlier, the metal touched a fresh 16-month high of 714.40 usd.

Among other precious metals, platinum was steady at 1,298 usd against 1,300 usd in late New York trade, while its sister metal palladium dipped to 331 usd from 333 usd. Silver was steady at 12.64 usd against 12.65 usd..

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